economics June 05, 2023 Debt Ceiling, Part 2 Debt Ceiling, Part 1 We can guesstimate the interest payments on the Federal debt by Jan, 2025....
economics June 02, 2023 Soviet USA The Federal interest graph is ominous... The budget deficit will probably be substantially higher than $4 trillion....
economics June 01, 2023 Debt Ceiling Or "why they canceled the debt ceiling". They published a "$4 trillion" budget...
economics May 22, 2023 The Precipice I think Russia won the Ukraine war many weeks ago but both sides had reasons to obfuscate...
economics May 19, 2023 Credit Cycle 2 I described the Credit Cycle a year ago, with a prediction that house prices won't...
bitcoin April 15, 2023 Confirmation Rate AsymmetryAnother major miner files bankruptcy as I predicted. At the end of the third quarter, Core Scientific’...